Re: The joy of Democracy

The Natural Philosopher <tnp@invalid.invalid> wrote:

On 04/11/2024 01:03, 186282@ud0s4.net wrote:

On 11/3/24 7:11 PM, rbowman wrote:

On Sun, 3 Nov 2024 21:45:32 +0100, D wrote:
 

True. Let's hope Putin will make a hueg error of judgment soon, or that
the court will tire of him. Would not be surprised if it happens within
3-5 years.

 
Let me wipe the dust off my crystal ball. Ah, I see it now. In 3-5 years
Zelensky will be a footnote in history. It's a bit cloudy whether or not
he will be Diemed.

 
  An evil crystal for sure !
 
  However, it MAY be correct. Russia has HUGE
  resources while Ukraine, even in good circumstances,
  is far behind the curve. I don't think Ukraine can
  "win" in the conventional sense - it will take
  something more "political".
 

No. Russia does not have HUGE resources.
Its economy is about the size of Italy's.
It is already in total stagflation, with interest rates over 20%.
20% of GDP is going on a war which it isn't winning.
Even Russian economist are warning that total economic collapse is
threatening.
Putin is going all-in to convince the West that 'Russia cant lose' At a
cost of 1500 casualties a day.

Just read an interesting article today. Apparently Ukranian drones have
destroyed such huge numbers of z Russian self-propelled howitzers that the
Russians are mostly back to towed artillery. ( self-propelled guns tote
around a lot of fuel and ammunition, that makes a real nice bavovna when
hit). Now Ukranian drone operators have developed a technique for blowing
holes in gun barrels, making them useless) I think they’re getting as many
as 50 per day. Russians can’t produce that many replacement barrels because
their industrial base sucks.

 

  With NK troops

 
Who are allegeldly shooting at Russians because they look and sound
pretty much like Ukrainains. Or desrting in droves.,
 
 
and more and more Chinese supplies

  Russia can keep at this for a long time, even expand
  threats/influence to eastern Europe.

 
No, he can't. That's his bullshit. He is teetering on the edge.
 
 

Putin will have
  to drop dead - and NO assurances his replacement will
  be ANY better, maybe worse.
 

Wrong assumptions, wrong conclusions.
 

  Zel ... SOMEDAY he will get his big statue. Won't
  be anytime soon though.

 
He's a little guy. It will be a little statue.
 
 

--
Pete