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On Tue, 1 Oct 2024 18:56:46 +0000, David Brown wrote:
On 01/10/2024 20:20, MitchAlsup1 wrote:
I read your post as saying that if someone says "I have a theory that the moon is made of green cheese", it is actually a conjecture, not a theory. I fully agree that it is not a theory - at least, not a scientific theory. But I would also not even call it a conjecture since it is has no justification or basis, and is easily disproved (if the moon is made of cheese, it is /grey/ cheese, not /green/ cheese!). It is no more than an idea or claim - to be a "conjecture", it needs to have a viable path towards a theory (though it may fail along that path).I do not disagree with that. Sorry if I implied anything else.>>
The colloquial person thinks theory and conjecture are
essentially equal. As in: "I just invented this theory".
No, you just: "Invented a conjecture." you have to have
substantial evidence to go from conjecture to theory.
>
I think you need evidence, justification, and a good basis for proposing
something before it can even be called a "conjecture" in science. You
don't start off with a conjecture - you start with an idea, and have a
long way to go to reach a "scientific theory", passing through
"conjecture" and "hypothesis" on the way.
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