Re: (OT) They're not all crazy in Europe

On Sat, 19 Apr 2025 19:54:55 -0500, -hh wrote:

chrisv <chrisv@nospam.invalid> wrote:

rbowman wrote:
 

-hh wrote:

 
First one was a pandemic itself, which killed 1.2 million Americans.
This generated far more submissions by health professionals than a
normal or bad flu season/year.

 
Far less than the 2% that many (such as yourself, IIRC) predicted, and
nearly all of them where very old and sick already.

 
I’ll check on if it was a prediction, or just the topical estimate of
worst case.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-britain-research-f-
idUSKBN21415L/


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8294439/ROSS-CLARK-Neil-
Fergusons-lockdown-predictions-dodgy.html

In the best Mail tradition it leads with a paragraph about Ferguson
violating the lockdown for a booty call from a married woman but then
documents Ferguson's prior claims that the sky was falling. His model was
very popular at the start of the fiasco. 

A popular Monday morning quarterback ploy when you've fucked the dog
royally is 'Oh no, that wasn't a prediction, it was a worse case
scenario.'

You might want to look up stories about Marion Correctional Institution in
Ohio.

https://www.wkyc.com/article/news/investigations/new-york-times-ohios-
marion-correctional-institution-is-nations-largest-source-of-covid-19-
infections/95-33650055-04f2-424d-82ae-9b91b2244236

Between prisoners and staff over 2000 people tested positive for covid
most of whom were asymptomatic. Even at the time it was hard to find
follow-up stories after the 'everybody is going to die!' headlines but
iirc there were under a dozen deaths.