Re: Gallup: 2024 Election Environment Favors Republicans.

On Wed, 25 Sep 2024, Retrograde wrote:

On 2024-09-25, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

Nerd narrative
There's a 56% chance that Kamala Harris will be elected US President in
2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

>
I think a lot of Americans are done talking to pollsters. I know I am.
They've been part of the problem in previous elections, and them
treating each election like a horse race is not helpful.
>
I'm keeping my mouth shut and will cast my vote in November.  Don't even
have any signs on my lawn (and don't intend to either).
>

I think another source of error is the selection in a lot of polls. I get the feeling that each team has their own polls, and the yare of course biased towards the home team.