Re: jobs apocalypse

On Thu, 18 Jul 2024 12:02:39 +0200, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

UBI was tried with disastrous results in the
soviet union, so it is disproven both financially and historically.

One example does not 'prove' the concept is fruitless. 

I believe  Elon is living in a Sci-Fi or bullshit world when he says,
"here will come a point where no job is needed -you can have a job if
you want one for personal satisfaction - but AI will do everything."
===========================

This study gives a sense of what could happen, but I believe their
finding that "additional jobs in the service sector" came about is
bumstear thinking as more/more robots are "employed."

30/2017

German Robots - The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers
...
...
Conclusion

In this paper we have studied the impact of rising robot exposure on
the careers of individual manufacturing workers, and the equilibrium
impact across industries and local labor markets in Germany. Unlike in
the United States, we find no evidence that robots have been major job
killers so far. They do no not cause overall job losses, but they do
affect the composition of aggregate employment in Germany. We estimate
that every robot destroys roughly two manufacturing jobs. This implies
a total loss of 275,000 manufacturing jobs in the period 1994-2014,
which accounts for roughly 23% of the overall decline during those two
decades. But this loss was fully offset (or even slightly
over-compensated) by additional jobs in the service sector.

https://doku.iab.de/discussionpapers/2017/dp3017.pdf