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On Tue, 17 Sep 2024 23:11:37 +0000, quadibloc <quadibloc@gmail.com>The polling started in Pennsylvania this week.
wrote:
<snippo>
I just saw an article giving more detail on those polls that say<snippo blather, this is /politics/, get a grip>
Kamala Harris is ahead.
>
45% of voters favor Trump, 49% of voters favor Harris, a 4% lead.
>
But if you split things up, and just look at typical Americans,
you instead get
>
55% of voters support Trump; 41% of voters support Harris.
4% isn't much of a gap. What was the margin of error?
"Support" doesn't matter, particularly if the question is being
answered in groups where social pressure can affect the response.
And the only "poll" that matters is the one in early November.
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