Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA

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Sujet : Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA
De : lynnmcguire5 (at) *nospam* gmail.com (Lynn McGuire)
Groupes : rec.arts.sf.written
Date : 18. Nov 2024, 20:46:12
Autres entêtes
Organisation : A noiseless patient Spider
Message-ID : <vhg5i4$1d60l$2@dont-email.me>
References : 1 2 3 4 5 6
User-Agent : Mozilla Thunderbird
On 11/18/2024 10:45 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
On Mon, 18 Nov 2024 14:12:34 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
wrote:
>
Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
On 11/14/2024 9:00 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
I am on the periphery of the ongoing blanketing of the USA with AI
servers.  I have a few facts that might just blow you away.
>
The expected number of AI servers in the USA alone is presently a
million (SWAG).  The current cost for a single AI server is $500,000=
US.
     1,000,000 x $500,000 =3D $500 billion US of capital.
=20
First, What is your source for this data?  Be specific.
=20
Second, define precisely what an "AI server" is.
>
BTW, I should have mentioned that the AI Servers are not uniform in any=
=20
of their aspects.  I just gave the specs for one of the high end=20
machines that the manufacturer has a three month waiting list for.
>
Some of us actually produce ML hardware.  The term AI is an marketing
gimic, not reality.
>
ML hardware ranges from custom logic in a desktop CPU to massively =
parallel
specialized hardware (e.g. plug-in GPUs).   An ML-enabled server can
range from a simple ML accelerator block in the CPU itself (Apple,
Google, Amazon, Marvell) to a large, expensive, power-hungry GPU from =
Nvidia.
>
Yes, there are large racks of ML-enabled servers, particularly for
training.  No, they're not really anything special other than using
high-end, high performance CPUs, GPUs and high-speed interconnects
(Infiniband, 100 and 400Gb ethernet).      Basically no different
than any supercomputer in scale and power requirements.
>
1 million of them will rather increase the power requirements,
possibly causing shortages.
 It is unlikely that there will be anywhere near one million
ML training setups, which are the power-hungry setups.
 ML Inference requires significantly less horsepower and will
be distributed over millions of laptop/desktop/table systems.
 It's just as likely that the hype bubble will burst in the
next 18 months.
""Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future." — Niels Bohr"
  https://www.reddit.com/r/quotes/comments/10at8mq/prediction_is_very_difficult_especially_about_the/
BTW, my buddy who programs AI Servers at the big dumb company, agrees with you.  But they are selling hundreds of the huge AI servers each month and are struggling to meet demand.
Lynn

Date Sujet#  Auteur
14 Nov 24 * ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA38Lynn McGuire
14 Nov 24 +* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA2Paul S Person
15 Nov 24 i`- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Paul S Person
14 Nov 24 +* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA23D
15 Nov 24 i+* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA21Lynn McGuire
15 Nov 24 ii`* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA20D
15 Nov 24 ii `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA19Lynn McGuire
15 Nov 24 ii  `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA18D
16 Nov 24 ii   `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA17Paul S Person
17 Nov 24 ii    `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA16Gary R. Schmidt
17 Nov 24 ii     `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA15Paul S Person
17 Nov 24 ii      +- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Cryptoengineer
18 Nov 24 ii      `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA13Jay E. Morris
18 Nov 24 ii       `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA12Paul S Person
18 Nov 24 ii        `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA11Jay E. Morris
18 Nov 24 ii         `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA10Jay E. Morris
19 Nov 24 ii          `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA9Paul S Person
19 Nov 24 ii           +- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Jay E. Morris
19 Nov 24 ii           `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA7Cryptoengineer
19 Nov 24 ii            `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA6Garrett Wollman
20 Nov 24 ii             `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA5Jay E. Morris
20 Nov 24 ii              +* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA3Cryptoengineer
20 Nov 24 ii              i`* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA2ted@loft.tnolan.com (Ted Nolan
21 Nov 24 ii              i `- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Jay E. Morris
20 Nov 24 ii              `- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Paul S Person
15 Nov 24 i`- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Garrett Wollman
15 Nov 24 +* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA3Titus G
15 Nov 24 i`* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA2Lynn McGuire
15 Nov 24 i `- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Titus G
15 Nov 24 +* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA5William Hyde
15 Nov 24 i`* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA4Lynn McGuire
16 Nov 24 i +* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA2William Hyde
16 Nov 24 i i`- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Bobbie Sellers
16 Nov 24 i `- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1Paul S Person
17 Nov 24 `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA4Lynn McGuire
18 Nov 24  `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA3Paul S Person
18 Nov 24   `* Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA2Lynn McGuire
19 Nov 24    `- Re: ongoing infrastructure changes with AI in the USA1D

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