Re: Climate models are wrong.

On 3/1/2025 3:09 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:

On 3/1/2025 3:39 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:

On 3/1/2025 2:01 PM, William Hyde wrote:
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BTW, Texas, the King of the so-called renewables, will not allow more than 30% of the so-called renewables in the electric generation mix for ERCOT.  Above 30% is the loss of control region for ERCOT.

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Well, in the first place the expertise of Texas power regulators is open to question.
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But even if the upper limit for them is in fact 30%, that's a lot. Throw in some nuclear power and the greenhouse emissions from electrical generation are dramatically reduced.
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I live in a promise where on any given day at most 10% of the generation comes from fossil fuels, the rest being Hydro, Nuclear, and to a much lesser extent wind and solar.
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William Hyde

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Right now at this moment, Texas is using electric power from:
1. Solar:       23,469 MW
2. Wind:         2,272 MW
3. Hydro:            0 MW
4. Batteries:      237 MW
5. Other:            0 MW
6. Natural Gas: 11,480 MW
7. Coal:         5,278 MW
8. Nuclear:      5,107 MW
=========================
Total:          47,843 MW
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I think that I was wrong about the max of the so-called renewables.  The max of 30% may just apply to wind power since the wind power ebbs and flows with the wind.  When cold fronts come through Texas, the wind turbines will actually go to zero power as they rotate the wind turbines to face the wind, not a very quick process.
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Lynn
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 Those numbers indicate that only 35% Texan electricity comes
from carbon sources. This is actually much better than the US
as a whole, were 62% does.
 pt

Those numbers change by the quarter hour as Texas has 300+ gas turbines that run on natural gas (preferred) or diesel (weather curtailment) that are started if needed.  Some of the gas turbines requires 6 minutes to start (GE LM-6000), 22 minutes to start (GE Frame 7), or 4 hours to start (GE Frame 9).  Just two weeks ago, the fossil fuels provided 60,000+ MW out of 80,000+ MW demand as the solar power and wind turbines failed to provide much power in the extreme weather conditions.
Various entities throughout Texas are in the process of adding over 200 new gas turbines that run on either natural gas or diesel.  No matter what the fuel source is, Texas is striving to serve our population with the most reliable and cost effective electricity possible,  This can be seen as many entities are moving to Texas to take advantage of both of these priorities.
Lynn