Re: bike path news

On 3/12/2025 11:02 PM, John B. wrote:

On Wed, 12 Mar 2025 14:25:04 -0400, Frank Krygowski
<frkrygow@sbcglobal.net> wrote:
 

On 3/12/2025 2:21 PM, AMuzi wrote:

On 3/12/2025 12:32 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote:

On 3/12/2025 8:46 AM, AMuzi wrote:

On 3/11/2025 9:15 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote:

On 3/11/2025 9:08 AM, AMuzi wrote:

On 3/11/2025 5:23 AM, Roger Merriman wrote:

>
Just because it can happen doesn’t mean it will happen, going out
on limb
but I suspect that CatTrike Ryder will be perfectly safe with or
without
carrying any guns on his rides.

>
Which is a personal risk assessment. His, not yours.

>
And as I must frequently remind people, personal assessments can be
flat out wrong. With phobias, they almost always are.
>
Consider the evidence on this one. It sounds like he's taken his gun
on every bike ride for many years. That's probably hundreds of
trips. Surely if he had actually had to brandish it, let alone shoot
it, he'd have told us by now.
>
So his hundreds personal risk assessments saying "I might need my
gun for defense today" have all proven wrong. He's never once been
right on this!
>
That's a uniformly crappy track record.
>

>
We have a fire extinguisher in the shop truck and three of them in
the bike shop (with 53 years of annual inspection fees I might add).
I have never used one. Ever.

>
Think benefits vs. detriments, please.
>
Fire extinguishers are benign. We don't have tens of thousands of fire
extinguisher deaths per year. One thug beat capitol police with a fire
extinguisher on January 6, 2021, but that idiot was an extreme
outlier, whom Trump tried to turn into a hero.
>
(So much for complaints about criminals going free, eh?)
>

>
Difficult mix of cases but they all did time, and hard time at that.

>
As do many parolees. Still there are complaints from those who would
have them rot in jail forever.

  Weren't you the guy that was quoting percentages just a bit ago?
 "About 69% of parolees in a 1978 study were rearrested for a serious
crime within six years of their release. Recidivism rates vary
depending on the type of crime, demographics, and length of time since
release.
 Recidivism rates by crime type
     Property crimes: Have the highest recidivism rates, with estimates
of 78.3% of people convicted of property crimes being rearrested over
five years
     Drug offenses: Over 80% of convicted drug offenders are arrested
again within nine years
 Recidivism rates by demographics
     First arrested before age 18: Have the highest recidivism rates
     First arrested at age 40 or older: Have the lowest recidivism
rates, below 30%
 Recidivism rates by time since release
     Recidivism rates are highest in the first two years after release
     In a 2021 study, 66% of people released from prison in 24
different states in 2008 were re-arrested within three years
 Other parole and probation statistics
     45% of state prison admissions are the result of violations of
probation or parole
     The severity of the original conviction offense is not the only
factor that predicts recidivism risk
      How common is it for released prisoners to re-offend?
     May 14, 2566 BE
     USAFacts
     Recidivism of Young Parolees - Bureau of Justice Statistics
     Approximately 69% of a group of young parolees were rearrested for
a serious crime within 6 years of their release from prison, 53...
     Bureau of Justice Statistics
     New National Recidivism Report - Council on Criminal Justice"

You seem to be saying criminals should remain in prison, because those released will likely re-offend.
So will you complain about Trump releasing those who were convicted of attacking police officers at the capitol, after being caught doing so on video?
--
- Frank Krygowski