Re: Oddities

On 4/14/2025 4:40 PM, AMuzi wrote:

On 4/14/2025 3:25 PM, Shadow wrote:

     Brazilians were divided in two groups. Those that did not
trust the US and its puppets (Bolsonaro). They had the Sinovac
vaccine.
>
    And those that thought social media was doG. They had the
American vaccines.
>
    You could choose. We still have some democracy left.... I
don't believe you had a choice in the US.
>
    Nobody that had the 3 doses of Sinovac died of COVID.
    []'s

  Few or less maybe but zero deaths seems improbable:
 https://ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths-by-vaccination

I thought that article gave particularly lucid explanations.
Those who are curious about the "base rate fallacy" it mentions and who are mathematically competent may want to look up Bayes Probability.
This article gives a pretty good explanation.
https://www.yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
Read the bit about breast cancer, if nothing else. (Unfortunately, the hotlinks to calculator sites seem to have gone dormant, but the text gives results.)
--
- Frank Krygowski