Re: smart people doing stupid things

On 5/17/2024 9:46 PM, Edward Rawde wrote:

Where it will be in 10 years is impossible to predict.

 I agree.

So, you can be optimistic (and risk disappointment) or
pessimistic (and risk being pleasantly surprised).
Unfortunately, the consequences aren't as trivial as
choosing between the steak or lobster...

But, as the genie is
out of the bottle, there is nothing to stop others from using/abusing it
in ways that we might not consider palatable!  (Do you really think an
adversary will follow YOUR rules for its use -- if they see a way to
achieve gains?)
>
The risk from AI is that it makes decisions without being able to
articulate
a "reason" in a verifiable form.

 I know/have known plenty of people who can do that.

But *you* can evaluate the "goodness" (correctness?) of their
decisions by an examination of their reasoning.  So, you can
opt to endorse their decision or reject it -- regardless of
THEIR opinion on the subject.
E.g., if a manager makes stupid decisions regarding product
design, you can decide if you want to deal with the
inevitable (?) outcome from those decisions -- or "move on".
You aren't bound by his decision making process.
With AIs making societal-scale decisions (directly or
indirectly), you get caught up in the side-effects of those.