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On 04/03/2025 22:59, TTman wrote:On 04/03/2025 02:02, Bill Sloman wrote:>The latest New Scientist talks about asteroid 2024 YR4 being
downgraded from a 1 in 32 chance of hitting Earth (the 17th February
estimate) to a one in 25,000 chance on the 24th February.
>
It's some where between 40 and 90 metres in diameter. Presumably there
are more smaller asteroids (which will be harder to see).
>
Eventually some military clown is going to get the idea finding a few
of them and sending up stick-on ion drives, so that the earth-grazing
orbits can be shifted into earth-impacting orbits.
>
A couple of them hitting Russian occupied-areas of the Ukraine would
upset Putin no end.
>
Excellent suggestion.! Needs some clever maths calcs though...
Timing is everything in orbital dynamics.
>
The Earth is moving along it's orbit at 30km/s and the impactor is
similar or possibly faster depending on its orbital parameters. IOW just
a couple of minutes difference between a direct hit and a miss.
>
Its actually better than that since glancing impacts will skim off the
upper atmosphere like a stone does off off a pond. And only iron or
stone ones coming in at relatively steep angles get to reach the ground.
Many are loose aggregates of ice and pebbles that disintegrate on entry.
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