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On 06/03/2025 16:44, Bill Sloman wrote:<snip>On 6/03/2025 10:54 pm, Carlos E.R. wrote:On 2025-03-06 04:06, Bill Sloman wrote:On 6/03/2025 1:45 pm, Carlos E.R. wrote:On 2025-03-06 03:05, Bill Sloman wrote:On 6/03/2025 8:28 am, Dave Platt wrote:In article <vq8jtq$299g5$1@dont-email.me>,
Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
There is a limit to haw far into the future we can predict the trajectory of a comet or asteroid. It depends how well the orbit has been determined and how close it gets to any of the other big solar system bodies. Jupiter serves as a cosmic hoover by slingshot effect putting things into orbits that typically intersect with it or get flung much further out. Shoemaker Levy 9 famously suffer that fateThat insight has been formalised as a claim that the planets' orbits are chaotic over longer time scales, in such a way that the whole Solar System possesses a Lyapunov time in the range of 2~230 million years.
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